Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.015181 0.017180 0.019360 0.021918 0.024839 0.028075 0.031938
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.012371 0.015170 0.018492 0.022740 0.028044 0.034473 0.042891
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.010803 0.013972 0.017952 0.023344 0.030498 0.039720 0.052596
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.009680 0.013075 0.017540 0.023884 0.032733 0.044741 0.062438
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008543 0.011968 0.016653 0.023585 0.033679 0.047993 0.070098
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.007658 0.011082 0.015929 0.023366 0.034621 0.051229 0.077986
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006937 0.010337 0.015303 0.023178 0.035523 0.054417 0.086072
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.006521 0.009990 0.015211 0.023752 0.037600 0.059550 0.097739
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.005974 0.009383 0.014651 0.023517 0.038337 0.062590 0.106266
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005714 0.009197 0.014722 0.024287 0.040764 0.068600 0.120486
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005172 0.008502 0.013908 0.023497 0.040456 0.069916 0.126525
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004774 0.008010 0.013381 0.023134 0.040835 0.072429 0.134973
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004319 0.007391 0.012599 0.022277 0.040285 0.073291 0.140563
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.004183 0.007313 0.012745 0.023095 0.042890 0.080247 0.158883
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004026 0.007183 0.012783 0.023711 0.045164 0.086795 0.177179
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003872 0.007043 0.012788 0.024259 0.047352 0.093390 0.196389
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003616 0.006693 0.012375 0.023955 0.047804 0.096525 0.208545
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003394 0.006389 0.012022 0.023733 0.048392 0.099986 0.221828
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003195 0.006113 0.011699 0.023542 0.049020 0.103583 0.235858
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003100 0.006033 0.011752 0.024126 0.051357 0.111122 0.260079
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002923 0.005775 0.011429 0.023887 0.051865 0.114639 0.275053
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002863 0.005749 0.011575 0.024670 0.054733 0.123831 0.305309
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002653 0.005399 0.011022 0.023866 0.053889 0.124261 0.313275